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Comparing two copy trading strategies: the figures that matter

On a broker's platform, the strategies you can copy come as a list, sorted by return by default. It is the worst criterion to choose by, and yet it is the one the eye reads first. This guide goes through the figures on a strategy's page, says what each one really measures, and suggests a way to compare two strategies without being trapped by the most eye-catching number.

Return: the most visible figure, and the least useful on its own

A return of “+300%” says nothing until you know three things: over what period, with what worst fall along the way, and by which method of calculation. +300% in six months and +300% in four years are not the same strategy. +300% with a worst drawdown of 20% and +300% with a worst drawdown of 90% are not either.

Two reading precautions:

Worst drawdown: the figure that says what you will live through

The worst drawdown is the largest fall of the account between a peak and the trough that follows. It is the figure that says what the copier will have to bear along the way, and therefore the one that decides whether the strategy is bearable for them.

Two versions must be told apart:

A large gap between the two points to a grid or martingale strategy, which waits for the market to come back. That is not disqualifying, but it is a specific risk to know about.

Track-record length: the longer it is, the more the other figures are worth

Six months of history show only one market configuration. Three years show several: rising, falling, calm and turbulent periods. A strategy that has only known a favourable market has not been tested yet.

A simple rule of thumb: a short history with a spectacular return is worth less than a long history with a moderate return and a known worst drawdown. And a strategy that has “restarted” its history (new account, new page) after a big loss still has that loss in its past, even if the page no longer shows it.

Number of trades: enough for luck to stop deciding

Ten winning trades can be luck. A thousand trades over three years, much less so. The number of trades says whether the displayed return rests on a repeated method or on a few lucky hits.

Conversely, a very high number of trades over a short time, with tiny positions, can serve to inflate a “winning trades” percentage without saying anything about the overall result.

Consistency: month by month, not cumulative

A cumulative curve almost always rises, by construction. What is informative is the month-by-month detail: how many months in profit, how many in loss, of what size, and whether losing months are rare or simply hidden by open positions. A table of monthly reports is worth more than a curve.

The figures that mislead

Comparing on equal terms: a simple grid

To compare two strategies, fill in the same table for each, with figures from the same platform and the same period:

CriterionWhat to noteWhat it tells you
Track-record lengthSince what dateUnder a year: not tested yet
Return over the common periodSame start date for bothComparable only over equal periods
Worst floating drawdownOpen positions included, with its dateThe figure to set against your stake
Months in profit / months in lossOver the full historyConsistency, month by month
Number of tradesTotal and per monthEnough for luck to stop deciding
MethodGrid, martingale, stop loss per trade…What type of risk you accept
CostsFee, high-water mark, copying chargesWhat is left for you
Comparison grid: to fill in for each strategy, with figures from the same platform and the same period.

Return comes on the second line, not the first, and always over a common period.

And at PlanetFinance?

The strategy's figures are published with their method of calculation on the Method page: +3,553% since 11 November 2022, compounded on closed trades, net of broker fees and swaps, before the copiers' fee. The worst drawdown displayed (−5.5%) counts closed trades only; the worst floating drawdown is estimated at about 75%, in April 2025, bearing in mind that position size, and therefore the risk taken, has been reduced since; that second figure is the one to use in the grid above. The Monthly reports page gives the month-by-month detail, and the Risks page describes the grid method and its risks. That is exactly what this guide invites you to ask of any strategy.

Further reading

This guide is for information only. It is not investment advice. Past performance is no guide to future performance. Trading Forex with leverage carries a high risk of losing capital.

All guides See the calculation method See the monthly reports